Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.287386e-01 0.310734 0.407214 0.527244 0.670679 0.834749 1.034718
2026-02-08 1.284314e-01 0.225088 0.358236 0.546284 0.796162 1.108225 1.518402
2026-02-15 6.774298e-02 0.159148 0.308009 0.545182 0.890832 1.354357 1.999881
2026-02-22 4.068019e-02 0.128175 0.294353 0.586915 1.044642 1.691037 2.628176
2026-03-01 2.270097e-02 0.100555 0.274473 0.611426 1.173347 2.002958 3.246645
2026-03-08 1.112668e-02 0.075540 0.247990 0.616103 1.268460 2.271550 3.820680
2026-03-15 4.466855e-03 0.054026 0.217666 0.604233 1.331537 2.493776 4.338609
2026-03-22 1.774361e-03 0.041642 0.202162 0.615785 1.432705 2.778180 4.959263
2026-03-29 5.014172e-04 0.030983 0.184548 0.617413 1.514098 3.034109 5.547112
2026-04-05 5.154871e-05 0.021053 0.161214 0.599047 1.554231 3.223325 6.039559
2026-04-12 5.077253e-08 0.013988 0.141184 0.582070 1.592889 3.409827 6.533072
2026-04-19 NaN 0.010008 0.130140 0.584759 1.669560 3.663155 7.139608
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005874 0.111452 0.561299 1.691281 3.826331 7.615939
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004533 0.109185 0.586391 1.819331 4.183831 8.420201
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002909 0.100344 0.587899 1.895373 4.451732 9.087327
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002558 0.104203 0.633367 2.074498 4.914518 10.089678
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001932 0.102800 0.660005 2.212293 5.306669 10.985214
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001195 0.096100 0.665339 2.300448 5.610101 11.740525
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000576 0.085771 0.652996 2.344622 5.832247 12.364428
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000330 0.081864 0.665309 2.449660 6.173379 13.198555
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000148 0.076001 0.667083 2.528010 6.465497 13.955044
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000033 0.066401 0.647694 2.549954 6.648319 14.527155
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000002 0.058010 0.629751 2.573066 6.833343 15.106743